likelihood_ratio

Author

Prof. Eric A. Suess

Examples of using the generalized likelihood ratio test.

Using the mtcars dataset, we will compare the full model to the reduced model. The full model includes four of the variables in the dataset. The reduced model includes only the variables disp and carb. The null model includes only the intercept. We will use the lrtest() function from the lmtest package to perform the likelihood ratio test.

Likelihood Ratio Test for Linear Regression

library(lmtest)

#fit full model
model_full <- lm(mpg ~ disp + carb + hp + cyl, data = mtcars)
model_full 

Call:
lm(formula = mpg ~ disp + carb + hp + cyl, data = mtcars)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)         disp         carb           hp          cyl  
  34.021595    -0.026906    -0.926863     0.009349    -1.048523  
#fit reduced model
model_reduced <- lm(mpg ~ disp + carb, data = mtcars)
model_reduced 

Call:
lm(formula = mpg ~ disp + carb, data = mtcars)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)         disp         carb  
    31.1527      -0.0363      -0.9557  
#fit nullmodel
model_null <- lm(mpg ~ 1, data = mtcars)
model_null 

Call:
lm(formula = mpg ~ 1, data = mtcars)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)  
      20.09  
#perform likelihood ratio test for differences in models
lrtest(model_full, model_reduced) 
Likelihood ratio test

Model 1: mpg ~ disp + carb + hp + cyl
Model 2: mpg ~ disp + carb
  #Df  LogLik Df  Chisq Pr(>Chisq)
1   6 -77.558                     
2   4 -78.603 -2 2.0902     0.3517
lrtest(model_full, model_null) 
Likelihood ratio test

Model 1: mpg ~ disp + carb + hp + cyl
Model 2: mpg ~ 1
  #Df   LogLik Df Chisq Pr(>Chisq)    
1   6  -77.558                        
2   2 -102.378 -4 49.64  4.294e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
lrtest(model_reduced, model_null) 
Likelihood ratio test

Model 1: mpg ~ disp + carb
Model 2: mpg ~ 1
  #Df   LogLik Df Chisq Pr(>Chisq)    
1   4  -78.603                        
2   2 -102.378 -2 47.55  4.729e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Check the calculations.

-2*log( exp(-78.60301) / exp(-77.55790) )
[1] 2.09022
-2*( - 78.60301 - (- 77.55790))
[1] 2.09022
2*(  78.60301 + (- 77.55790))
[1] 2.09022
pchisq(2.04522, df = 2, lower.tail = FALSE)
[1] 0.359655

Likelihood ratio test for logistic regression

Using the infert dataset, we will compare the full model to the reduced model. The full model includes two of the variables in the dataset. The reduced model includes only the variable induced. The null model includes only the intercept. We will use the lrtest() function from the lmtest package to perform the likelihood ratio test.

infert
    education age parity induced case spontaneous stratum pooled.stratum
1      0-5yrs  26      6       1    1           2       1              3
2      0-5yrs  42      1       1    1           0       2              1
3      0-5yrs  39      6       2    1           0       3              4
4      0-5yrs  34      4       2    1           0       4              2
5     6-11yrs  35      3       1    1           1       5             32
6     6-11yrs  36      4       2    1           1       6             36
7     6-11yrs  23      1       0    1           0       7              6
8     6-11yrs  32      2       0    1           0       8             22
9     6-11yrs  21      1       0    1           1       9              5
10    6-11yrs  28      2       0    1           0      10             19
11    6-11yrs  29      2       1    1           0      11             20
12    6-11yrs  37      4       2    1           1      12             37
13    6-11yrs  31      1       1    1           0      13              9
14    6-11yrs  29      3       2    1           0      14             29
15    6-11yrs  31      2       1    1           1      15             21
16    6-11yrs  27      2       2    1           0      16             18
17    6-11yrs  30      5       2    1           1      17             38
18    6-11yrs  26      1       0    1           1      18              7
19    6-11yrs  25      3       2    1           1      19             28
20    6-11yrs  44      1       0    1           1      20             17
21    6-11yrs  40      1       0    1           1      21             14
22    6-11yrs  35      2       2    1           0      22             24
23    6-11yrs  28      2       0    1           2      23             19
24    6-11yrs  36      1       0    1           1      24             12
25    6-11yrs  27      2       1    1           1      25             18
26    6-11yrs  40      2       0    1           2      26             27
27    6-11yrs  38      2       0    1           2      27             26
28    6-11yrs  34      3       0    1           2      28             31
29    6-11yrs  28      4       1    1           2      29             34
30    6-11yrs  30      4       2    1           0      30             35
31    6-11yrs  32      1       0    1           1      31             10
32    6-11yrs  34      2       1    1           0      32             23
33    6-11yrs  42      1       1    1           0      33             16
34    6-11yrs  32      2       0    1           2      34             22
35    6-11yrs  39      1       1    1           0      35             13
36    6-11yrs  35      2       0    1           2      36             24
37    6-11yrs  36      1       0    1           1      37             12
38    6-11yrs  34      3       1    1           2      38             31
39    6-11yrs  30      3       0    1           0      39             30
40    6-11yrs  28      1       0    1           1      40              8
41    6-11yrs  39      3       0    1           2      41             33
42    6-11yrs  35      1       0    1           0      42             11
43    6-11yrs  41      1       0    1           0      43             15
44    6-11yrs  37      2       1    1           1      44             25
45    12+ yrs  30      1       0    1           0      45             44
46    12+ yrs  37      1       1    1           0      46             48
47    12+ yrs  28      2       0    1           2      47             51
48    12+ yrs  27      4       2    1           0      48             61
49    12+ yrs  26      2       2    1           0      49             49
50    12+ yrs  38      3       0    1           2      50             60
51    12+ yrs  24      3       1    1           2      51             56
52    12+ yrs  36      5       1    1           2      52             62
53    12+ yrs  27      3       1    1           1      53             57
54    12+ yrs  28      1       0    1           1      54             42
55    12+ yrs  29      2       0    1           2      55             52
56    12+ yrs  36      2       0    1           2      56             55
57    12+ yrs  28      2       1    1           0      57             51
58    12+ yrs  28      2       0    1           2      58             51
59    12+ yrs  28      1       0    1           1      59             42
60    12+ yrs  27      2       0    1           2      60             50
61    12+ yrs  35      2       0    1           2      61             54
62    12+ yrs  25      1       0    1           1      62             41
63    12+ yrs  34      1       0    1           1      63             47
64    12+ yrs  31      2       0    1           2      64             53
65    12+ yrs  26      2       1    1           0      65             49
66    12+ yrs  32      1       0    1           1      66             46
67    12+ yrs  21      1       0    1           1      67             39
68    12+ yrs  28      3       1    1           2      68             58
69    12+ yrs  37      3       0    1           2      69             59
70    12+ yrs  25      1       1    1           0      70             41
71    12+ yrs  32      1       1    1           0      71             46
72    12+ yrs  25      1       0    1           1      72             41
73    12+ yrs  31      1       0    1           1      73             45
74    12+ yrs  38      6       0    1           2      74             63
75    12+ yrs  26      2       0    1           2      75             49
76    12+ yrs  31      1       0    1           1      76             45
77    12+ yrs  31      2       0    1           1      77             53
78    12+ yrs  25      1       1    1           0      78             41
79    12+ yrs  31      1       0    1           1      79             45
80    12+ yrs  34      1       0    1           1      80             47
81    12+ yrs  35      2       2    1           0      81             54
82    12+ yrs  29      1       0    1           1      82             43
83    12+ yrs  23      1       0    1           1      83             40
84     0-5yrs  26      6       2    0           0       1              3
85     0-5yrs  42      1       0    0           0       2              1
86     0-5yrs  39      6       2    0           0       3              4
87     0-5yrs  34      4       0    0           1       4              2
88    6-11yrs  35      3       2    0           0       5             32
89    6-11yrs  36      4       1    0           1       6             36
90    6-11yrs  23      1       0    0           0       7              6
91    6-11yrs  32      2       2    0           0       8             22
92    6-11yrs  21      1       0    0           1       9              5
93    6-11yrs  28      2       0    0           1      10             19
94    6-11yrs  29      2       0    0           0      11             20
95    6-11yrs  37      4       1    0           1      12             37
96    6-11yrs  31      1       0    0           0      13              9
97    6-11yrs  29      3       0    0           1      14             29
98    6-11yrs  31      2       1    0           0      15             21
99    6-11yrs  27      2       1    0           0      16             18
100   6-11yrs  30      5       0    0           2      17             38
101   6-11yrs  26      1       0    0           0      18              7
102   6-11yrs  25      3       0    0           1      19             28
103   6-11yrs  44      1       0    0           0      20             17
104   6-11yrs  40      1       0    0           0      21             14
105   6-11yrs  35      2       0    0           0      22             24
106   6-11yrs  28      2       0    0           0      23             19
107   6-11yrs  36      1       0    0           0      24             12
108   6-11yrs  27      2       0    0           1      25             18
109   6-11yrs  40      2       0    0           0      26             27
110   6-11yrs  38      2       0    0           0      27             26
111   6-11yrs  34      3       0    0           0      28             31
112   6-11yrs  28      4       0    0           2      29             34
113   6-11yrs  30      4       1    0           1      30             35
114   6-11yrs  32      1       0    0           0      31             10
115   6-11yrs  34      2       1    0           0      32             23
116   6-11yrs  42      1       1    0           0      33             16
117   6-11yrs  32      2       0    0           0      34             22
118   6-11yrs  39      1       0    0           0      35             13
119   6-11yrs  35      2       0    0           0      36             24
120   6-11yrs  36      1       0    0           0      37             12
121   6-11yrs  34      3       2    0           0      38             31
122   6-11yrs  30      3       0    0           2      39             30
123   6-11yrs  28      1       1    0           0      40              8
124   6-11yrs  39      3       1    0           0      41             33
125   6-11yrs  35      1       0    0           0      42             11
126   6-11yrs  41      1       0    0           0      43             15
127   6-11yrs  37      2       0    0           0      44             25
128   12+ yrs  30      1       1    0           0      45             44
129   12+ yrs  37      1       0    0           0      46             48
130   12+ yrs  28      2       1    0           0      47             51
131   12+ yrs  27      4       2    0           1      48             61
132   12+ yrs  26      2       1    0           0      49             49
133   12+ yrs  38      3       1    0           0      50             60
134   12+ yrs  24      3       2    0           1      51             56
135   12+ yrs  36      5       1    0           1      52             62
136   12+ yrs  27      3       1    0           1      53             57
137   12+ yrs  28      1       1    0           0      54             42
138   12+ yrs  29      2       1    0           0      55             52
139   12+ yrs  36      2       1    0           0      56             55
140   12+ yrs  28      2       1    0           1      57             51
141   12+ yrs  28      2       2    0           0      58             51
142   12+ yrs  28      1       1    0           0      59             42
143   12+ yrs  27      2       1    0           0      60             50
144   12+ yrs  35      2       2    0           0      61             54
145   12+ yrs  25      1       1    0           0      62             41
146   12+ yrs  34      1       0    0           0      63             47
147   12+ yrs  31      2       0    0           0      64             53
148   12+ yrs  26      2       0    0           1      65             49
149   12+ yrs  32      1       0    0           0      66             46
150   12+ yrs  21      1       0    0           1      67             39
151   12+ yrs  28      3       2    0           0      68             58
152   12+ yrs  37      3       1    0           1      69             59
153   12+ yrs  25      1       0    0           0      70             41
154   12+ yrs  32      1       1    0           0      71             46
155   12+ yrs  25      1       0    0           0      72             41
156   12+ yrs  31      1       0    0           1      73             45
157   12+ yrs  26      2       0    0           2      75             49
158   12+ yrs  31      1       0    0           0      76             45
159   12+ yrs  31      2       2    0           0      77             53
160   12+ yrs  25      1       0    0           0      78             41
161   12+ yrs  31      1       0    0           0      79             45
162   12+ yrs  34      1       0    0           0      80             47
163   12+ yrs  35      2       0    0           0      81             54
164   12+ yrs  29      1       0    0           1      82             43
165   12+ yrs  23      1       0    0           1      83             40
166    0-5yrs  26      6       2    0           0       1              3
167    0-5yrs  42      1       0    0           0       2              1
168    0-5yrs  39      6       2    0           0       3              4
169    0-5yrs  34      4       0    0           2       4              2
170   6-11yrs  35      3       0    0           0       5             32
171   6-11yrs  36      4       0    0           2       6             36
172   6-11yrs  23      1       0    0           0       7              6
173   6-11yrs  32      2       0    0           1       8             22
174   6-11yrs  21      1       1    0           0       9              5
175   6-11yrs  28      2       0    0           1      10             19
176   6-11yrs  29      2       0    0           1      11             20
177   6-11yrs  37      4       0    0           1      12             37
178   6-11yrs  31      1       0    0           0      13              9
179   6-11yrs  29      3       0    0           2      14             29
180   6-11yrs  31      2       1    0           0      15             21
181   6-11yrs  27      2       0    0           0      16             18
182   6-11yrs  30      5       1    0           2      17             38
183   6-11yrs  26      1       1    0           0      18              7
184   6-11yrs  25      3       1    0           1      19             28
185   6-11yrs  44      1       1    0           0      20             17
186   6-11yrs  40      1       0    0           0      21             14
187   6-11yrs  35      2       0    0           0      22             24
188   6-11yrs  28      2       2    0           0      23             19
189   6-11yrs  36      1       0    0           1      24             12
190   6-11yrs  27      2       0    0           2      25             18
191   6-11yrs  40      2       0    0           0      26             27
192   6-11yrs  38      2       0    0           0      27             26
193   6-11yrs  34      3       0    0           0      28             31
194   6-11yrs  28      4       2    0           1      29             34
195   6-11yrs  30      4       1    0           1      30             35
196   6-11yrs  32      1       0    0           0      31             10
197   6-11yrs  34      2       0    0           0      32             23
198   6-11yrs  42      1       0    0           0      33             16
199   6-11yrs  32      2       2    0           0      34             22
200   6-11yrs  39      1       0    0           0      35             13
201   6-11yrs  35      2       0    0           0      36             24
202   6-11yrs  36      1       0    0           0      37             12
203   6-11yrs  34      3       2    0           0      38             31
204   6-11yrs  30      3       0    0           1      39             30
205   6-11yrs  28      1       0    0           0      40              8
206   6-11yrs  39      3       0    0           0      41             33
207   6-11yrs  35      1       0    0           0      42             11
208   6-11yrs  41      1       0    0           0      43             15
209   6-11yrs  37      2       0    0           0      44             25
210   12+ yrs  30      1       0    0           0      45             44
211   12+ yrs  37      1       0    0           1      46             48
212   12+ yrs  28      2       1    0           0      47             51
213   12+ yrs  27      4       2    0           0      48             61
214   12+ yrs  26      2       1    0           0      49             49
215   12+ yrs  38      3       1    0           0      50             60
216   12+ yrs  24      3       2    0           0      51             56
217   12+ yrs  36      5       2    0           1      52             62
218   12+ yrs  27      3       2    0           0      53             57
219   12+ yrs  28      1       0    0           1      54             42
220   12+ yrs  29      2       1    0           1      55             52
221   12+ yrs  36      2       0    0           1      56             55
222   12+ yrs  28      2       2    0           0      57             51
223   12+ yrs  28      2       1    0           0      58             51
224   12+ yrs  28      1       0    0           0      59             42
225   12+ yrs  27      2       1    0           0      60             50
226   12+ yrs  35      2       1    0           0      61             54
227   12+ yrs  25      1       1    0           0      62             41
228   12+ yrs  34      1       0    0           0      63             47
229   12+ yrs  31      2       1    0           0      64             53
230   12+ yrs  26      2       0    0           2      65             49
231   12+ yrs  32      1       1    0           0      66             46
232   12+ yrs  21      1       0    0           0      67             39
233   12+ yrs  28      3       2    0           0      68             58
234   12+ yrs  37      3       0    0           2      69             59
235   12+ yrs  25      1       1    0           0      70             41
236   12+ yrs  32      1       0    0           0      71             46
237   12+ yrs  25      1       1    0           0      72             41
238   12+ yrs  31      1       0    0           0      73             45
239   12+ yrs  38      6       0    0           2      74             63
240   12+ yrs  26      2       1    0           1      75             49
241   12+ yrs  31      1       1    0           0      76             45
242   12+ yrs  31      2       0    0           1      77             53
243   12+ yrs  25      1       0    0           1      78             41
244   12+ yrs  31      1       0    0           1      79             45
245   12+ yrs  34      1       0    0           0      80             47
246   12+ yrs  35      2       2    0           0      81             54
247   12+ yrs  29      1       0    0           1      82             43
248   12+ yrs  23      1       0    0           1      83             40
model_full <- glm(case ~ induced + spontaneous, family=binomial, data=infert)
model_full

Call:  glm(formula = case ~ induced + spontaneous, family = binomial, 
    data = infert)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)      induced  spontaneous  
    -1.7079       0.4181       1.1972  

Degrees of Freedom: 247 Total (i.e. Null);  245 Residual
Null Deviance:      316.2 
Residual Deviance: 279.6    AIC: 285.6
model_reduced <- glm(case ~ induced, family=binomial, data=infert)
model_reduced

Call:  glm(formula = case ~ induced, family = binomial, data = infert)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)      induced  
   -0.71535      0.04897  

Degrees of Freedom: 247 Total (i.e. Null);  246 Residual
Null Deviance:      316.2 
Residual Deviance: 316.1    AIC: 320.1
model_null <- glm(case ~ 1, family=binomial, data=infert)
model_null

Call:  glm(formula = case ~ 1, family = binomial, data = infert)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)  
    -0.6871  

Degrees of Freedom: 247 Total (i.e. Null);  247 Residual
Null Deviance:      316.2 
Residual Deviance: 316.2    AIC: 318.2
lrtest (model_full, model_reduced)
Likelihood ratio test

Model 1: case ~ induced + spontaneous
Model 2: case ~ induced
  #Df  LogLik Df  Chisq Pr(>Chisq)    
1   3 -139.81                         
2   2 -158.05 -1 36.487  1.537e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
lrtest (model_full, model_null)
Likelihood ratio test

Model 1: case ~ induced + spontaneous
Model 2: case ~ 1
  #Df  LogLik Df  Chisq Pr(>Chisq)    
1   3 -139.81                         
2   1 -158.09 -2 36.559  1.152e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
lrtest (model_reduced, model_null)
Likelihood ratio test

Model 1: case ~ induced
Model 2: case ~ 1
  #Df  LogLik Df  Chisq Pr(>Chisq)
1   2 -158.05                     
2   1 -158.09 -1 0.0724     0.7879