CSU Hayward

Statistics Department

Augmented Table 5. Links to Graphical Displays and Simulations
Each simulation seed links to a graphical display of simulation results.
 
(Seeds for simulations in Table 5 of the printed article are not available;
for each prior a second run is shown here with its known seed.)

Beta Prior
On Prevalence
Seed for
Simulation
Simulated Values of p Gibbs Interval Estimate
MeanMedian    2.5%97.5%
(a) a = 2, b = 50  
6509   
1.27%
1.28%
1.11%
1.13%
(0.18%,
(0.18%,
3.16%)
3.26%)
(b) a = 2, b = 20  
33456   
2.51%
1.54%
1.34%
1.37%
(0.21%,
(0.22%,
3.74%)
3.84%)
(c) a = 1, b = 1  
9786   
0.95%
0.97%
0.75%
0.74%
(0.03%,
(0.03%,
3.19%)
3.15%)
(d) a = 7, b = 5  
12   
4.42%
4.45%
4.28%
4.29%
(1.99%,
(2.03%,
7.61%)
7.65%)

Note: Table 5 shows Gibbs Estimates of prevalence from 10,000 simulated values after burn-in
(Data: 5 positive tests among 215 units of blood).